Here is my estimate for Tesla's production in Q4 which I calculated on Oct 9. However, apparently, Wall Street cares more about deliveries than production.

Estimated YOY growth in 2022 vs 2021
• 39.8% in deliveries (1,308,573 in 2022)
• 48.7% in production (1,383,772 in 2022) pic.twitter.com/Ssw5wGuwD0

— Troy Teslike (@TroyTeslike) October 16, 2022